· Analysis updated 15:45 UTC
Brumov vs Holešov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Brumov and 2.32 for Holešov, a combined total of 3.87. That distribution gives Holešov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Holešov win
54.9% probability
Expected goals
1.55 – 2.32
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brumov home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Holešov away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Holešov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 25% / 20% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Brumov and 2.32 for Holešov, a combined 3.87 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.7%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–36.7%
- 2–15.8%
Recent form
Brumov
- 2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Holešov · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-22T08:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Krumvir · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Baťov · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-09T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Prostejov B · 1-4 (L)
Holešov
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kozlovice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluk · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Břeclav · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Krumvir · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Brumov · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie E table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Všechovice | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 30 |
| 2 | Strání | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 28 |
| 3 | Kozlovice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | Slavičín | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | SK Krumvir | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Sokol Lanžhot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 7 | Prostejov B | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Šternberk | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Holešov | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Hluk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 11 | Břeclav | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Bzenec | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -10 | 9 |
| 13 | Brumov | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -19 | 7 |
| 14 | Nové Sady | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -23 | 7 |
| 15 | Kroměříž II | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
| 16 | Baťov | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -39 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Holešov win, at 54.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.