· Analysis updated 09:00 UTC
Brumunddal vs Lyn II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Brumunddal and 2.78 for Lyn II, a combined total of 4.53. That distribution gives Lyn II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Lyn II win
59.3% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 2.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brumunddal home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lyn II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lyn II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 23% / 18% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Brumunddal and 2.78 for Lyn II, a combined 4.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.3%
- 1–36.8%
- 2–26.4%
- 2–35.9%
- 1–15.3%
Recent form
Brumunddal
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Drøbak / Frogn · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Råde · 0-14 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fram · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ørn Horten · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Oppsal · 1-2 (L)
Lyn II
- 2026-10-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Råde · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Raelingen · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sarpsborg 08 II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gjøvik-Lyn · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Drøbak / Frogn · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · Brumunddal 1-9 Lyn II (3. Division - Girone 6)
- 2026-04-12T14:00:00.000Z · Brumunddal 1-3 Lyn II (3. Division - Girone 6)
3. Division - Girone 6 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 59 |
| 2 | Elverum | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | Råde | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 46 |
| 4 | Gjøvik-Lyn | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 44 |
| 5 | Drøbak / Frogn | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 41 |
| 6 | Ørn Horten | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Raelingen | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 38 |
| 8 | Lyn II | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Oppsal | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 33 |
| 10 | Sandefjord II | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 33 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 II | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 32 |
| 12 | Fram | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 | Brumunddal | 25 | 3 | 3 | 19 | -83 | 12 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 25 | 1 | 0 | 24 | -89 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lyn II win, at 59.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.