· Analysis updated 08:35 UTC
Brunei U17 vs Lebanon U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Brunei U17 and 3.09 for Lebanon U17, a combined total of 3.99. That distribution gives Lebanon U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Lebanon U17 win
80.5% probability
Expected goals
0.90 – 3.09
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brunei U17 home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lebanon U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 81%, against 8% / 12% / 81% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.90 goals for Brunei U17 and 3.09 for Lebanon U17, a combined 3.99 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 56%, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
20%
Double chance 12
88%
Double chance X2
92%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–39.1%
- 0–28.9%
- 1–38.2%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–47.1%
Recent form
Brunei U17
- 2025-11-30T06:00:00.000Z · A vs Bahrain U17 · 0-10 (L)
- 2025-11-28T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Timor-Leste U17 · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-11-26T11:35:00.000Z · A vs China PR U17 · 0-12 (L)
- 2025-11-24T06:00:00.000Z · A vs Bangladesh U17 · 0-8 (L)
- 2025-11-22T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Sri Lanka U17 · 0-4 (L)
Lebanon U17
- 2025-11-28T14:00:00.000Z · A vs India U17 · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-11-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs IR Iran U17 · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-11-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Palestine U17 · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-11-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Chinese Taipei U17 · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lebanon U17 win, at 80.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 81% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.