· Analysis updated 09:11 UTC
Brunei U17 vs Timor-Leste U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Brunei U17 and 3.25 for Timor-Leste U17, a combined total of 5.35. That distribution gives Timor-Leste U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Timor-Leste U17 win
60.5% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 3.25
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brunei U17 home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Timor-Leste U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 24% / 16% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.10 goals for Brunei U17 and 3.25 for Timor-Leste U17, a combined 5.35 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 90% and both teams to score at 84%, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
40%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–36.0%
- 1–35.7%
- 2–25.5%
- 1–25.3%
- 2–44.9%
Recent form
Brunei U17
- 2025-11-30T06:00:00.000Z · A vs Bahrain U17 · 0-10 (L)
- 2025-11-28T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Timor-Leste U17 · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-11-26T11:35:00.000Z · A vs China PR U17 · 0-12 (L)
- 2025-11-24T06:00:00.000Z · A vs Bangladesh U17 · 0-8 (L)
- 2025-11-22T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Sri Lanka U17 · 0-4 (L)
Timor-Leste U17
- 2025-11-30T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Sri Lanka U17 · 2-1 (W)
- 2025-11-28T06:00:00.000Z · A vs Brunei U17 · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-11-26T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Bahrain U17 · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-11-24T11:35:00.000Z · A vs China PR U17 · 0-14 (L)
- 2025-11-22T06:00:00.000Z · A vs Bangladesh U17 · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2025-11-28T06:00:00.000Z · Brunei U17 0-2 Timor-Leste U17 (AFC U17 Asian Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Timor-Leste U17 win, at 60.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 84% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.