Stadion Gelora 10 November · Analysis updated 16:58 UTC
Brunei U19 vs Thailand U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for Brunei U19 and 4.50 for Thailand U19, a combined total of 5.65. That distribution gives Thailand U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 89%, with the draw at 7%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 89% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Thailand U19 win
88.9% probability
Expected goals
1.15 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brunei U19 home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Thailand U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Thailand U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 89%, against 4% / 7% / 89% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.15 goals for Brunei U19 and 4.50 for Thailand U19, a combined 5.65 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
11%
Double chance 12
93%
Double chance X2
96%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–46.9%
- 1–56.2%
- 1–36.1%
- 0–46.0%
- 0–55.4%
Recent form
Brunei U19
- 2026-06-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Singapore U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-06-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Malaysia U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-06-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Thailand U19 · 0-9 (L)
- 2024-07-25T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Singapore U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2024-07-22T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Thailand U19 · 0-6 (L)
Thailand U19
- 2026-06-13T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Australia U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Cambodia U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-06-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Malaysia U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-06-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Singapore U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-06-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Brunei U19 · 9-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-06-02T09:00:00.000Z · Brunei U19 0-9 Thailand U19 (ASEAN Championship U19)
- 2024-07-22T08:00:00.000Z · Brunei U19 0-6 Thailand U19 (ASEAN Championship U19)
- 2022-07-08T10:00:00.000Z · Brunei U19 0-2 Thailand U19 (AFF U19 Championship)
ASEAN Championship U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indonesia U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Vietnam U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Myanmar U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Timor-Leste U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| 1 | Thailand U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 |
| 2 | Malaysia U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Singapore U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Brunei U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -17 | 0 |
| 1 | Australia U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 |
| 2 | Cambodia U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Philippines U19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -13 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Thailand U19 win, at 88.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 89% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.