· Analysis updated 02:54 UTC
Brunswick Juventus FC vs Melbourne Srbija Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.41 expected goals for Brunswick Juventus FC and 0.93 for Melbourne Srbija, a combined total of 2.33. That distribution gives Brunswick Juventus FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.
Model pick
Brunswick Juventus FC to Win
48.0% probability
Expected goals
1.41 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.6%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–09.6%
- 0–19.0%
Why the model likes this
Brunswick Juventus FC home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brunswick Juventus FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 27% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.41 goals for Brunswick Juventus FC and 0.93 for Melbourne Srbija, a combined 2.33 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 41% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Recent form
Brunswick Juventus FC
- 2026-08-15T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Melbourne Srbija · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-12T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Preston Lions · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T05:00:00.000Z · A vs North Sunshine Eagles · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-25T08:00:00.000Z · H vs North Geelong Warriors · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-18T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Langwarrin · 1-0 (W)
Melbourne Srbija
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Victoria NPL 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 51 |
| 2 | Brunswick Juventus FC | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Northcote City | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 46 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory II | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Bulleen Lions | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne Srbija | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Eltham Redbacks FC | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 |
| 8 | Brunswick City | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 33 |
| 9 | Manningham United Blues | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | -14 | 30 |
| 10 | North Geelong Warriors | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | -18 | 28 |
| 11 | Western United II | 23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | -17 | 25 |
| 12 | Langwarrin | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 23 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 20 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -38 | 17 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.