Brunswick Juventus FC vs North Geelong Warriors Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Brunswick Juventus FC and 1.06 for North Geelong Warriors, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Brunswick Juventus FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws roughly 31% of the time.

Model pick

Brunswick Juventus FC to Win

68.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.50 – 1.06

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Brunswick Juventus FC win69%

Draw17%

North Geelong Warriors win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

31%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

2–19.4%
2–08.9%
3–17.8%
1–17.6%
3–07.4%

Why the model likes this

Brunswick Juventus FC home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brunswick Juventus FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 17% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Brunswick Juventus FC and 1.06 for North Geelong Warriors, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 60%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Brunswick Juventus FC

2026-08-15T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Melbourne Srbija · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-12T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Preston Lions · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-01T05:00:00.000Z · A vs North Sunshine Eagles · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-25T08:00:00.000Z · H vs North Geelong Warriors · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-18T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Langwarrin · 1-0 (W)

North Geelong Warriors

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Victoria NPL 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Melbourne Knights	24	16	3	5	27	51
2	Brunswick Juventus FC	24	15	2	7	14	47
3	Northcote City	23	14	4	5	17	46
4	Melbourne Victory II	23	12	4	7	17	40
5	Bulleen Lions	23	11	6	6	14	39
6	Melbourne Srbija	24	11	3	10	3	36
7	Eltham Redbacks FC	24	10	5	9	15	35
8	Brunswick City	24	10	3	11	2	33
9	Manningham United Blues	24	9	3	12	-14	30
10	North Geelong Warriors	24	9	1	14	-18	28
11	Western United II	23	8	1	14	-17	25
12	Langwarrin	23	6	5	12	-13	23
13	North Sunshine Eagles	23	5	5	13	-9	20
14	Port Melbourne	24	4	5	15	-38	17

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.