Bryne vs Kongsvinger Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.46 expected goals for Bryne and 2.05 for Kongsvinger, a combined total of 3.51. That distribution gives Kongsvinger the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Kongsvinger win

51.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.46 – 2.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bryne home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Kongsvinger away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kongsvinger to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 27% / 21% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.46 goals for Bryne and 2.05 for Kongsvinger, a combined 3.51 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bryne win27%

Draw21%

Kongsvinger win51%

Double chance 1X

49%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

1–29.2%
1–18.9%
2–26.7%
2–16.5%
0–26.3%

Recent form

Bryne

2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Asane · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Bjarg · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabaek · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Strommen · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Haugesund · 0-2 (L)

Kongsvinger

2026-10-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sogndal · 1-3 (L)
2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandnes ULF · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Stromsgodset · 1-5 (L)
2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ranheim · 6-2 (W)
2026-10-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Moss · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Division table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Haugesund	28	20	2	6	34	62
2	Stromsgodset	28	18	6	4	42	60
3	Kongsvinger	28	18	5	5	37	59
4	Stabaek	28	17	4	7	32	55
5	ODD Ballklubb	28	13	6	9	11	45
6	Bryne	28	12	4	12	-1	40
7	Ranheim	28	11	5	12	3	38
8	hodd	28	11	5	12	-7	38
9	Strommen	28	10	6	12	-10	36
10	Egersund	28	9	8	11	-11	35
11	Lyn	28	9	4	15	-17	31
12	Sogndal	28	8	6	14	-14	30
13	Sandnes ULF	28	8	5	15	-16	29
14	Moss	28	8	5	15	-18	29
15	Asane	28	7	5	16	-22	26
16	Raufoss	28	6	2	20	-43	20

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kongsvinger win, at 51.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.