Norway · 1. Division Women · Matchweek 1712:00
Bryne WWLWWD

5 – 0

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Grei WLDLLW

· Analysis updated 14:42 UTC

Bryne W vs Grei W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for Bryne W and 2.33 for Grei W, a combined total of 3.48. That distribution gives Grei W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Grei W win

63.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.15 – 2.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bryne W home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Grei W away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Grei W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 18% / 19% / 64% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.15 goals for Bryne W and 2.33 for Grei W, a combined 3.48 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bryne W win18%
Draw19%
Grei W win64%

Double chance 1X

36%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

83%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–28.4%
  • 1–18.3%
  • 1–37.5%
  • 0–17.2%

Recent form

Bryne W

  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viking FK W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolbotn W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Klepp W · 6-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Grei W · 5-0 (W)

Grei W

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 0-10 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Fyllingsdalen W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · H vs TIL 2020 W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Åsane W · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Division Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Start W8620920
2Viking FK W86111819
3Åsane W85301118
4TIL 2020 W85211417
5Arna-Bjørnar W8422414
6Bryne W8323-211
7Odd W8233-19
8Kolbotn W8224-18
9Grei W8215-27
10Klepp W8206-156
11Frigg Oslo FK W8107-173
12Fyllingsdalen W8107-183

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Grei W win, at 63.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.