Norway · 1. Division Women · Matchweek 1514:00
Bryne WWLWWD

1 – 0

Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Kolbotn WDDLLL

· Analysis updated 18:04 UTC

Bryne W vs Kolbotn W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Bryne W and 1.85 for Kolbotn W, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives Kolbotn W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bryne W home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kolbotn W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kolbotn W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 37% / 22% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.75 goals for Bryne W and 1.85 for Kolbotn W, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bryne W win37%
Draw22%
Kolbotn W win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–18.8%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 0–15.1%

Recent form

Bryne W

  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viking FK W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolbotn W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Klepp W · 6-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Grei W · 5-0 (W)

Kolbotn W

  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Klepp W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bryne W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Odd W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs TIL 2020 W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Start W · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Division Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Start W8620920
2Viking FK W86111819
3Åsane W85301118
4TIL 2020 W85211417
5Arna-Bjørnar W8422414
6Bryne W8323-211
7Odd W8233-19
8Kolbotn W8224-18
9Grei W8215-27
10Klepp W8206-156
11Frigg Oslo FK W8107-173
12Fyllingsdalen W8107-183

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.