Stadion Wankdorf · Analysis updated 01:56 UTC
BSC Young Boys vs Servette FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.83 expected goals for BSC Young Boys and 1.32 for Servette FC, a combined total of 4.15. That distribution gives BSC Young Boys the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws roughly 32% of the time.
Model pick
BSC Young Boys to Win
68.5% probability
Expected goals
2.83 – 1.32
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
32%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.3%
- 3–17.8%
- 2–06.3%
- 3–05.9%
- 1–15.9%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates BSC Young Boys to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 16% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.83 goals for BSC Young Boys and 1.32 for Servette FC, a combined 4.15 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 78% and both teams to score at 69%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Model confidence
BSC Young Boys to Win is the headline pick at 69% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
BSC Young Boys
Servette FC
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.