BTS Neustadt vs OSC Bremerhaven Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.31 expected goals for BTS Neustadt and 3.75 for OSC Bremerhaven, a combined total of 5.06. That distribution gives OSC Bremerhaven the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

OSC Bremerhaven win

80.7% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.31 – 3.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

BTS Neustadt home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
OSC Bremerhaven away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates OSC Bremerhaven to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 81%, against 9% / 11% / 81% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.31 goals for BTS Neustadt and 3.75 for OSC Bremerhaven, a combined 5.06 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

BTS Neustadt win9%

Draw11%

OSC Bremerhaven win81%

Double chance 1X

19%

Double chance 12

89%

Double chance X2

91%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%

Over 2.5 goals87%

Over 3.5 goals73%

Both teams to score70%

Correct score

1–37.3%
1–46.9%
1–25.8%
0–35.6%
0–45.2%

Recent form

BTS Neustadt

2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Brinkumer SV · 3-4 (L)
2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Leher TS · 1-7 (L)
2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Grohn · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Schwachhausen · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen III · 1-3 (L)

OSC Bremerhaven

2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Woltmershausen · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Bremen · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oberneuland · 12-0 (W)
2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Brinkumer SV · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Leher TS · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Bremen table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hemelingen	10	9	1	0	37	28
2	Blumenthaler SV	10	9	0	1	29	27
3	Brinkumer SV	10	9	0	1	26	27
4	OSC Bremerhaven	10	7	1	2	28	22
5	Aumund-Vegesack	10	5	2	3	9	17
6	Geestemünde	10	4	2	4	-3	14
7	Schwachhausen	10	4	2	4	-6	14
8	Vatan Sport	10	4	1	5	-4	13
9	Union Bremen	10	3	3	4	-3	12
10	Eiche Horn	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Leher TS	10	3	2	5	5	11
12	Grohn	10	3	1	6	-20	10
13	BTS Neustadt	10	3	0	7	-14	9
14	Oberneuland	10	1	2	7	-29	5
15	Werder Bremen III	10	1	1	8	-17	4
16	Woltmershausen	10	1	1	8	-27	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is OSC Bremerhaven win, at 80.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.

A 81% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.