Promontor utcai Stadion · Analysis updated 15:04 UTC
Budafoki LC vs Majosi Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.48 expected goals for Budafoki LC and 1.60 for Majosi, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives Budafoki LC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Budafoki LC win
56.9% probability
Expected goals
2.48 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Budafoki LC home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Budafoki LC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 19% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.48 goals for Budafoki LC and 1.60 for Majosi, a combined 4.08 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 73%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.3%
- 3–16.9%
- 1–16.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 3–25.5%
Recent form
Budafoki LC
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Majosi · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Pécsi MFC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunaharaszti MTK · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Paksi SE II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Budaörs · 3-1 (W)
Majosi
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kaposvar · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyiregyhaza · 1-8 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Iváncsa · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Érdi VSE · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Ferencváros II · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Southwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 28 |
| 2 | Kaposvar | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | PTE-PEAC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Budafoki LC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Ferencváros II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Iváncsa | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Siofok | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Majosi | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Dunaharaszti MTK | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest II | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 11 | Érdi VSE | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Budaörs | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 11 |
| 13 | Paksi SE II | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Sárbogárd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 15 | Szekszárd | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -34 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Budafoki LC win, at 56.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.