· Analysis updated 23:47 UTC
Bulls Academy vs Blacktown Spartans Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.46 expected goals for Bulls Academy and 2.16 for Blacktown Spartans, a combined total of 3.62. That distribution gives Blacktown Spartans the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.
Model pick
Blacktown Spartans to Win
53.5% probability
Expected goals
1.46 – 2.16
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.1%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–36.6%
- 0–26.2%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Blacktown Spartans to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 26% / 21% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.46 goals for Bulls Academy and 2.16 for Blacktown Spartans, a combined 3.62 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 68%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Model confidence
Blacktown Spartans to Win is the headline pick at 54% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Bulls Academy
Blacktown Spartans
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
New South Wales NPL 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 28 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 50 |
| 4 | Macarthur Rams | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 48 |
| 5 | Canterbury Bankstown | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Hills Brumbies | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Hakoah Sydney City | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39 |
| 8 | Rydalmere Lions | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Bulls Academy | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Hurstville FC | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Inter Lions | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -16 | 32 |
| 12 | Dulwich Hill | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Newcastle Jets II | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Central Coast II | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 28 | 3 | 14 | 11 | -18 | 23 |
| 16 | Mt Druitt Town | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | -33 | 20 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.