BSA Kuhhirten · Analysis updated 18:08 UTC
Buntentor W vs Hamburger SV W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Buntentor W and 2.52 for Hamburger SV W, a combined total of 4.14. That distribution gives Hamburger SV W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hamburger SV W win
57.3% probability
Expected goals
1.62 – 2.52
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Buntentor W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hamburger SV W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hamburger SV W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 24% / 19% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for Buntentor W and 2.52 for Hamburger SV W, a combined 4.14 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.2%
- 1–36.9%
- 2–26.6%
- 1–16.5%
- 2–35.6%
Recent form
Buntentor W
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg W · 0-10 (L)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Blau Weiss Berolina Mitte W · 3-0 (W)
- 2025-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs VfL Wolfsburg W · 0-11 (L)
- 2025-08-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Babelsberg W · 1-1 (D)
- 2024-08-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC W · 0-5 (L)
Hamburger SV W
- 2026-10-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin W · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Koln W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T11:45:00.000Z · A vs VfL Wolfsburg W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg W · 5-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2023-08-13T11:00:00.000Z · Buntentor W 1-4 Hamburger SV W (DFB Pokal - Women)
- 2022-08-20T00:00:00.000Z · Buntentor W 3-3 Hamburger SV W (DFB Pokal - Women)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hamburger SV W win, at 57.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.