· Analysis updated 18:22 UTC
Buntentor W vs Nürnberg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Buntentor W and 2.79 for Nürnberg W, a combined total of 4.74. That distribution gives Nürnberg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Nürnberg W win
55.7% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 2.79
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Buntentor W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nürnberg W away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nürnberg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 27% / 18% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Buntentor W and 2.79 for Nürnberg W, a combined 4.74 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.6%
- 2–26.5%
- 1–36.2%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–14.8%
Recent form
Buntentor W
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg W · 0-10 (L)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Blau Weiss Berolina Mitte W · 3-0 (W)
- 2025-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs VfL Wolfsburg W · 0-11 (L)
- 2025-08-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Babelsberg W · 1-1 (D)
- 2024-08-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC W · 0-5 (L)
Nürnberg W
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Buntentor W · 10-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hamburger SV W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · A vs RB Leipzig W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart W · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt W · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Nürnberg W win, at 55.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.