· Analysis updated 09:16 UTC
Buntentor W vs VfL Wolfsburg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Buntentor W and 2.98 for VfL Wolfsburg W, a combined total of 4.09. That distribution gives VfL Wolfsburg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
VfL Wolfsburg W win
75.1% probability
Expected goals
1.11 – 2.98
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Buntentor W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
VfL Wolfsburg W away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates VfL Wolfsburg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 11% / 14% / 75% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for Buntentor W and 2.98 for VfL Wolfsburg W, a combined 4.09 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
25%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
89%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.2%
- 1–38.2%
- 0–27.4%
- 0–37.4%
- 1–46.1%
Recent form
Buntentor W
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg W · 0-10 (L)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Blau Weiss Berolina Mitte W · 3-0 (W)
- 2025-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs VfL Wolfsburg W · 0-11 (L)
- 2025-08-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Babelsberg W · 1-1 (D)
- 2024-08-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC W · 0-5 (L)
VfL Wolfsburg W
- 2026-10-24T10:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Koln W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 W · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T11:45:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Sand W · 6-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is VfL Wolfsburg W win, at 75.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.