Buochs vs Langenthal Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Buochs and 2.43 for Langenthal, a combined total of 4.70. That distribution gives Langenthal the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.28 – 2.43

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Buochs home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Langenthal away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Buochs win38%

Draw19%

Langenthal win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%

Over 2.5 goals85%

Over 3.5 goals69%

Both teams to score82%

Correct score

2–26.9%
1–26.1%
2–15.7%
2–35.6%
3–25.2%

Recent form

Buochs

2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Delémont · 0-4 (L)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Langenthal · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Wohlen · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Grasshopper II · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Muri-Gümligen · 2-0 (W)

Langenthal

2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Grasshopper II · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Muri-Gümligen · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zug · 6-2 (W)
2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Muttenz · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · Buochs 1-2 Langenthal (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · Buochs 0-3 Langenthal (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2025-11-08T15:00:00.000Z · Buochs 3-1 Langenthal (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2022-05-28T14:00:00.000Z · Buochs 2-3 Langenthal (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2021-11-21T14:00:00.000Z · Buochs 0-2 Langenthal (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2020-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · Buochs 3-2 Langenthal (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2019-08-24T15:00:00.000Z · Buochs 2-3 Langenthal (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)

1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Langenthal	10	7	2	1	9	23
2	Schötz	10	6	2	2	13	20
3	Courtételle	10	6	1	3	9	19
4	Concordia Basel	10	5	2	3	7	17
5	Delémont	10	5	2	3	7	17
6	Muttenz	10	5	2	3	4	17
7	Solothurn	10	5	1	4	5	16
8	Grasshopper II	10	5	0	5	-1	15
9	Buochs	10	4	1	5	-2	13
10	Muri-Gümligen	10	4	1	5	-4	13
11	Thun II	10	3	3	4	-3	12
12	FC Wohlen	10	3	3	4	-4	12
13	Bassecourt	10	3	1	6	-9	10
14	Zug	10	3	1	6	-10	10
15	Black Stars	10	1	6	3	-3	9
16	Münsingen	10	0	2	8	-18	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.