Minarelicavus Spor Tesisleri · Analysis updated 11:06 UTC
Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Çorluspor 1947 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Bursa Yıldırımspor and 1.64 for Çorluspor 1947, a combined total of 2.96. That distribution gives Çorluspor 1947 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Çorluspor 1947 win
45.1% probability
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.64
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bursa Yıldırımspor home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Çorluspor 1947 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Çorluspor 1947 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 31% / 24% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.32 goals for Bursa Yıldırımspor and 1.64 for Çorluspor 1947, a combined 2.96 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–27.0%
Recent form
Bursa Yıldırımspor
- 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Eskişehirspor · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Uşak Spor · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Alanya 1221 FK · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-07T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Amasyaspor 1968 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Bucaspor 1928 · 1-0 (W)
Çorluspor 1947
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Menemen FK · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Erbaaspor · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Şanlıurfaspor · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Elazığspor · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Isparta 32 Spor · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Lig - Play-offs table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yeni Orduspor | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Çorluspor 1947 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Ayvalikgucu | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Talasgücü Belediyespor | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Eskişehirspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Etimesgut SK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Balıkesirspor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Bursa Yıldırımspor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Silifke Belediyespor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Karsiyaka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Fatsa Belediyespor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Çorluspor 1947 win, at 45.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.