· Analysis updated 16:09 UTC
BVSC vs Tiszakecske FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for BVSC and 1.78 for Tiszakecske FC, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives Tiszakecske FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Tiszakecske FC win
56.8% probability
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
BVSC home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tiszakecske FC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tiszakecske FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 20% / 23% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.95 goals for BVSC and 1.78 for Tiszakecske FC, a combined 2.72 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–111.6%
- 1–111.1%
- 0–210.3%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–06.6%
Recent form
BVSC
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Szentlőrinc SE · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajka · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Nagykanizsai ULE · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Diosgyori VTK · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Karcag SE · 1-4 (L)
Tiszakecske FC
- 2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Soroksar · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Pécsi MFC · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Szentlőrinc SE · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Nagykanizsai ULE · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Diosgyori VTK · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroksar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 20 |
| 2 | Kecskeméti TE | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Tiszakecske FC | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Kazincbarcikai | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Gyirmot SE | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Ajka | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Mezokovesd-zsory | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fehérvár FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Karcag SE | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Szentlőrinc SE | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Diosgyori VTK | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Nagykanizsai ULE | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | BVSC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Szeged 2011 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Csakvar | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 4 |
| 16 | Kozarmisleny FC | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tiszakecske FC win, at 56.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.