BW Dingden vs Germania Ratingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for BW Dingden and 1.41 for Germania Ratingen, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives BW Dingden the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.41

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

BW Dingden home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Germania Ratingen away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates BW Dingden to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 24% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for BW Dingden and 1.41 for Germania Ratingen, a combined 3.08 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

BW Dingden win44%

Draw24%

Germania Ratingen win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score61%

Correct score

1–110.8%
2–19.0%
1–07.7%
1–27.6%
0–16.5%

Recent form

BW Dingden

2026-10-02T18:00:00.000Z · H vs SC St. Tönis · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SSVg Velbert · 1-5 (L)
2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Büderich · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Schonnebeck · 0-5 (L)
2026-09-04T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Wuppertaler SV · 2-0 (W)

Germania Ratingen

2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Scherpenberg · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SF Baumberg · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Holzheimer SG · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-04T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SC St. Tönis · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Niederrhein table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Schonnebeck	9	7	2	0	21	23
2	SSVg Velbert	9	7	0	2	10	21
3	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	9	5	2	2	10	17
4	BW Dingden	9	5	1	3	2	16
5	SF Baumberg	9	4	3	2	2	15
6	Solingen-Wald	9	5	0	4	-3	15
7	SC St. Tönis	9	4	2	3	4	14
8	Germania Ratingen	9	3	5	1	3	14
9	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.	9	4	2	3	0	14
10	KFC Uerdingen 05	9	4	1	4	9	13
11	Sonsbeck	9	3	4	2	2	13
12	Monheim	9	3	3	3	4	12
13	Wuppertaler SV	9	3	1	5	4	10
14	Scherpenberg	9	2	2	5	-10	8
15	SW Essen	9	1	3	5	-10	6
16	Büderich	9	1	3	5	-14	6
17	Holzheimer SG	9	1	1	7	-21	4
18	Meerbusch	9	0	3	6	-13	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.