BW Lohne vs Lüneburger SK Hansa Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for BW Lohne and 1.22 for Lüneburger SK Hansa, a combined total of 3.47. That distribution gives BW Lohne the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

BW Lohne win

60.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.25 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

BW Lohne home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Lüneburger SK Hansa away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates BW Lohne to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 20% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.25 goals for BW Lohne and 1.22 for Lüneburger SK Hansa, a combined 3.47 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

BW Lohne win61%

Draw20%

Lüneburger SK Hansa win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals67%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score63%

Correct score

2–19.6%
1–18.5%
2–07.9%
3–17.2%
1–07.0%

Recent form

BW Lohne

2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Wilhelmshaven · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Hemmingen · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Hildesheim · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Drochtersen/Assel II · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Verden 04 · 2-2 (D)

Lüneburger SK Hansa

2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs BW Lohne · 1-3 (L)
2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Hildesheim · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Verden 04 · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vorsfelde · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bersenbrück · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Niedersachsen table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eintracht Braunschw. II	12	8	2	2	18	26
2	Wilhelmshaven	11	7	3	1	14	24
3	Heeslinger SC	12	6	5	1	17	23
4	Spelle-Venhaus	11	6	4	1	11	22
5	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	10	6	3	1	10	21
6	Borussia Hildesheim	11	6	2	3	5	20
7	BW Lohne	11	5	3	3	6	18
8	Meppen II	12	5	2	5	-2	17
9	Bersenbrück	11	5	1	5	0	16
10	Verden 04	12	3	4	5	1	13
11	Nordhorn	12	3	4	5	-13	13
12	Germania Egestorf	10	2	3	5	-9	9
13	Hemmingen	11	2	1	8	-20	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	10	0	6	4	-5	6
15	Vorsfelde	11	1	2	8	-19	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	11	1	1	9	-14	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is BW Lohne win, at 60.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.