· Analysis updated 06:35 UTC
Byåsen vs Orkla Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.48 expected goals for Byåsen and 1.73 for Orkla, a combined total of 4.20. That distribution gives Byåsen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Byåsen win
54.4% probability
Expected goals
2.48 – 1.73
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Byåsen home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Orkla away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.9%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–16.5%
- 1–16.4%
- 3–25.6%
Recent form
Byåsen
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kvik Trondheim · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Orkla · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Herd · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ranheim II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Strindheim · 1-2 (L)
Orkla
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Volda · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Byåsen · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aalesund II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Herd · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs NTNUI · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · Byåsen 3-0 Orkla (3. Division - Girone 2)
- 2026-04-18T12:00:00.000Z · Byåsen 3-3 Orkla (3. Division - Girone 2)
- 2024-10-05T13:00:00.000Z · Byåsen 3-0 Orkla (3. Division - Girone 4)
- 2024-04-06T13:00:00.000Z · Byåsen 2-2 Orkla (3. Division - Girone 4)
- 2023-10-29T11:00:00.000Z · Byåsen 2-2 Orkla (3. Division - Girone 5)
- 2023-05-06T13:00:00.000Z · Byåsen 6-0 Orkla (3. Division - Girone 5)
- 2022-09-17T14:00:00.000Z · Byåsen 4-1 Orkla (3. Division - Girone 5)
- 2022-05-07T13:00:00.000Z · Byåsen 2-1 Orkla (3. Division - Girone 5)
- 2021-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · Byåsen 2-3 Orkla (3. Division - Girone 5)
3. Division - Girone 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strindheim | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | Volda | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 41 | 55 |
| 3 | Melhus | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Byåsen | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Molde II | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | -11 | 35 |
| 6 | Rosenborg II | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 34 |
| 7 | Nardo | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 33 |
| 8 | Herd | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Spjelkavik | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | NTNUI | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -16 | 29 |
| 11 | Ranheim II | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -17 | 26 |
| 12 | Kvik Trondheim | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -21 | 26 |
| 13 | Aalesund II | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -23 | 25 |
| 14 | Orkla | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -29 | 23 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Byåsen win, at 54.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.