Caen vs Gobelins Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Caen and 1.49 for Gobelins, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Caen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Caen win

51.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.09 – 1.49

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Caen win52%

Draw21%

Gobelins win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals48%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

2–19.1%
1–18.7%
2–26.8%
1–26.5%
3–16.3%

Why the model likes this

Caen home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gobelins away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Caen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 21% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Caen and 1.49 for Gobelins, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Caen

2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Thionville Lusitanos · 3-4 (L)
2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Valenciennes · 4-0 (W)
2026-07-31T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Dieppe · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Wakrah · 4-1 (W)
2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Laval · 4-2 (W)

Gobelins

2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Villefranche · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Quevilly · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Creteil · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Orleans · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Caen · 4-3 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.