· Analysis updated 07:02 UTC
Caiquetio vs Unistars Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.68 expected goals for Caiquetio and 0.63 for Unistars, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Caiquetio the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Caiquetio win
80.7% probability
Expected goals
2.68 – 0.63
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Caiquetio home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Unistars away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Caiquetio to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 81%, against 81% / 13% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.68 goals for Caiquetio and 0.63 for Unistars, a combined 3.30 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
19%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–013.2%
- 3–011.8%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–18.2%
- 4–07.9%
Recent form
Caiquetio
- 2026-10-26T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-13T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Nacional · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-04T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Unistars · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-25T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Brazil Juniors · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-21T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Estrella · 2-1 (W)
Unistars
- 2026-06-04T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Caiquetio · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-27T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Jong Aruba · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-19T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Brazil Juniors · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-10T22:00:00.000Z · H vs River Plate · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-05-03T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Estrella · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division di Honor table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Caiquetio win, at 80.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 81% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.