Olympic Stadium · Analysis updated 13:44 UTC
Cambodia U17 vs Bangladesh U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Cambodia U17 and 2.33 for Bangladesh U17, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives Bangladesh U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bangladesh U17 win
60.5% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 2.33
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Cambodia U17 home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Bangladesh U17 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bangladesh U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 20% / 19% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Cambodia U17 and 2.33 for Bangladesh U17, a combined 3.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
40%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.4%
- 1–18.0%
- 1–37.3%
- 0–27.2%
- 0–16.2%
Recent form
Cambodia U17
- 2025-11-30T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Kyrgyzstan U17 · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-11-28T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Guam U17 · 5-1 (W)
- 2025-11-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Yemen U17 · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-11-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Laos U17 · 1-5 (L)
- 2025-11-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Pakistan U17 · 1-3 (L)
Bangladesh U17
- 2025-11-30T11:35:00.000Z · A vs China PR U17 · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-11-28T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Bahrain U17 · 2-1 (W)
- 2025-11-26T06:00:00.000Z · A vs Sri Lanka U17 · 5-0 (W)
- 2025-11-24T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Brunei U17 · 8-0 (W)
- 2025-11-22T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Timor-Leste U17 · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bangladesh U17 win, at 60.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.