Wales · Premier League · Matchweek 1113:30

4 – 3

Saturday, 26 September 2026

LlandudnoLLLLL

· Referee A. McInch · Analysis updated 10:44 UTC

Cambrian & Clydach vs Llandudno Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Cambrian & Clydach and 1.42 for Llandudno, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives Llandudno the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

65.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.42

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Cambrian & Clydach home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Llandudno away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Llandudno to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 34% / 26% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.30 goals for Cambrian & Clydach and 1.42 for Llandudno, a combined 2.72 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Cambrian & Clydach win34%
Draw26%
Llandudno win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 2–17.9%

Recent form

Cambrian & Clydach

  • 2026-10-16T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Trethomas Bluebirds · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Ammanford AFC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs The New Saints · 0-9 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Llandudno · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Caernarfon Town · 1-9 (L)

Llandudno

  • 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Cardiff MET · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Cambrian & Clydach · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs The New Saints · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-15T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Caernarfon Town · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Barry Town · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints1413104740
2GAP Connah S Quay FC1411122334
3Penybont139311430
4Caernarfon Town149232429
5Colwyn Bay14824726
6Barry Town14815325
7Airbus UK14806824
8Cardiff MET14644822
9Cambrian & Clydach14536-1318
10Llandudno14518-316
11Haverfordwest County AFC14419-913
12Briton Ferry14338-1212
13Flint Town United14329-1111
14Ammanford AFC14239-319
15Trefelin141310-256
16Holywell130211-302

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.