· Analysis updated 12:23 UTC
Cambridge City vs Redbridge Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Cambridge City and 1.33 for Redbridge, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Cambridge City the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Cambridge City win
51.8% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Cambridge City home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Redbridge away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cambridge City to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 22% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Cambridge City and 1.33 for Redbridge, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–07.3%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.5%
Recent form
Cambridge City
- 2026-07-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Cambridge United · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brantham Athletic · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Downham Town · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Redbridge · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Takeley · 2-1 (W)
Redbridge
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cambridge City · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-20T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Welwyn Garden City · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Hornchurch · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Concord Rangers · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bowers & Pitsea · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Cambridge City win, at 51.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.