Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · Matchweek 2107:00

6 – 0

Saturday, 27 June 2026

· Analysis updated 13:40 UTC

Canterbury Bankstown vs Central Coast II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.22 expected goals for Canterbury Bankstown and 1.48 for Central Coast II, a combined total of 4.70. That distribution gives Canterbury Bankstown the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Canterbury Bankstown win

71.4% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.22 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Canterbury Bankstown home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Canterbury Bankstown to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 14% / 14% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.22 goals for Canterbury Bankstown and 1.48 for Central Coast II, a combined 4.70 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 84% and both teams to score at 74%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Canterbury Bankstown win71%
Draw14%
Central Coast II win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals68%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 3–17.5%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 4–16.0%
  • 3–25.5%
  • 2–25.2%

Recent form

Canterbury Bankstown

  • 2026-08-29T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Macarthur Rams · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Bulls Academy · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Hakoah Sydney City · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Hills Brumbies · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Dulwich Hill · 3-3 (D)

Central Coast II

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    New South Wales NPL 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Blacktown Spartans3021634369
    2Northern Tigers3017852559
    3Bankstown City Lions3017582056
    4Canterbury Bankstown3015691851
    5Hills Brumbies3014791749
    6Macarthur Rams3014610448
    7Hakoah Sydney City30111091243
    8Rydalmere Lions3011811-341
    9Bulls Academy3011514238
    10Inter Lions3010515-1535
    11Hurstville FC309615-1333
    12Central Coast II308715-2131
    13Dulwich Hill307914-1830
    14Newcastle Jets II3061113-1829
    15Prospect United3041412-1926
    16Mt Druitt Town306519-3423

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Canterbury Bankstown win, at 71.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

    A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.