Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · Matchweek 2607:00

3 – 3

Saturday, 1 August 2026

Dulwich HillLLWLD

· Analysis updated 06:45 UTC

Canterbury Bankstown vs Dulwich Hill Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Canterbury Bankstown and 1.63 for Dulwich Hill, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Canterbury Bankstown the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Canterbury Bankstown win

52.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.28 – 1.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Canterbury Bankstown home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Dulwich Hill away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Canterbury Bankstown to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 20% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.28 goals for Canterbury Bankstown and 1.63 for Dulwich Hill, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Canterbury Bankstown win53%
Draw20%
Dulwich Hill win28%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–17.5%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 3–16.5%
  • 1–26.1%

Recent form

Canterbury Bankstown

  • 2026-08-29T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Macarthur Rams · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Bulls Academy · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Hakoah Sydney City · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Hills Brumbies · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Dulwich Hill · 3-3 (D)

Dulwich Hill

  • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Rydalmere Lions · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Inter Lions · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Newcastle Jets II · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Macarthur Rams · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Canterbury Bankstown · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

New South Wales NPL 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans3021634369
2Northern Tigers3017852559
3Bankstown City Lions3017582056
4Canterbury Bankstown3015691851
5Hills Brumbies3014791749
6Macarthur Rams3014610448
7Hakoah Sydney City30111091243
8Rydalmere Lions3011811-341
9Bulls Academy3011514238
10Inter Lions3010515-1535
11Hurstville FC309615-1333
12Central Coast II308715-2131
13Dulwich Hill307914-1830
14Newcastle Jets II3061113-1829
15Prospect United3041412-1926
16Mt Druitt Town306519-3423

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Canterbury Bankstown win, at 52.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.