· Analysis updated 13:40 UTC
Canterbury Bankstown vs Hakoah Sydney City Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.49 expected goals for Canterbury Bankstown and 1.91 for Hakoah Sydney City, a combined total of 4.40. That distribution gives Canterbury Bankstown the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Canterbury Bankstown win
51.1% probability
Expected goals
2.49 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hakoah Sydney City away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Canterbury Bankstown to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 19% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.49 goals for Canterbury Bankstown and 1.91 for Hakoah Sydney City, a combined 4.40 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 78%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.3%
- 2–26.9%
- 3–16.0%
- 1–15.8%
- 3–25.8%
Recent form
Canterbury Bankstown
Hakoah Sydney City
- 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Canterbury Bankstown · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-08T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Bulls Academy · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Mt Druitt Town · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-25T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Rydalmere Lions · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-18T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Hills Brumbies · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
New South Wales NPL 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 59 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | Canterbury Bankstown | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Hills Brumbies | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 49 |
| 6 | Macarthur Rams | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 48 |
| 7 | Hakoah Sydney City | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Rydalmere Lions | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Bulls Academy | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Inter Lions | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Hurstville FC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Central Coast II | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -21 | 31 |
| 13 | Dulwich Hill | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -18 | 30 |
| 14 | Newcastle Jets II | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -18 | 29 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | -19 | 26 |
| 16 | Mt Druitt Town | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -34 | 23 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Canterbury Bankstown win, at 51.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.