Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · Matchweek 2807:00

4 – 3

Saturday, 15 August 2026

· Analysis updated 13:40 UTC

Canterbury Bankstown vs Hakoah Sydney City Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.49 expected goals for Canterbury Bankstown and 1.91 for Hakoah Sydney City, a combined total of 4.40. That distribution gives Canterbury Bankstown the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Canterbury Bankstown win

51.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.49 – 1.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hakoah Sydney City away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Canterbury Bankstown to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 19% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.49 goals for Canterbury Bankstown and 1.91 for Hakoah Sydney City, a combined 4.40 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 78%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Match result (1X2)

Canterbury Bankstown win51%
Draw19%
Hakoah Sydney City win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals64%
Both teams to score78%

Correct score

  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 1–15.8%
  • 3–25.8%

Recent form

Canterbury Bankstown

    Hakoah Sydney City

    • 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Canterbury Bankstown · 3-4 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Bulls Academy · 3-2 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Mt Druitt Town · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-07-25T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Rydalmere Lions · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-18T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Hills Brumbies · 1-2 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    New South Wales NPL 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Blacktown Spartans3021634369
    2Northern Tigers3017852559
    3Bankstown City Lions3017582056
    4Canterbury Bankstown3015691851
    5Hills Brumbies3014791749
    6Macarthur Rams3014610448
    7Hakoah Sydney City30111091243
    8Rydalmere Lions3011811-341
    9Bulls Academy3011514238
    10Inter Lions3010515-1535
    11Hurstville FC309615-1333
    12Central Coast II308715-2131
    13Dulwich Hill307914-1830
    14Newcastle Jets II3061113-1829
    15Prospect United3041412-1926
    16Mt Druitt Town306519-3423

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Canterbury Bankstown win, at 51.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.

    A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.