Zimbabwe · Premier Soccer League · Matchweek 2413:00
CAPS UnitedWDWDD

0 – 1

Thursday, 23 July 2026

HuntersWWWDL

National Sports Stadium · Analysis updated 17:43 UTC

CAPS United vs Hunters Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for CAPS United and 0.90 for Hunters, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives CAPS United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

CAPS United win

51.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.53 – 0.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • CAPS United home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hunters away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates CAPS United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 26% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.53 goals for CAPS United and 0.90 for Hunters, a combined 2.43 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

CAPS United win52%
Draw26%
Hunters win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams to score46%

Correct score

  • 1–013.5%
  • 1–112.1%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–08.8%

Recent form

CAPS United

  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Platinum · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Simba Bhora · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MWOS · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamos · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bulawayo Chiefs · 0-0 (D)

Hunters

  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Agama · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Manica Diamonds · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ngezi Platinum · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hardrock · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Triangle United · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier Soccer League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hardrock3120653566
2Scotland Mabvuku30171033461
3Ngezi Platinum31141341355
4Dynamos31121541751
5CAPS United31131261151
6Herentals3114611248
7MWOS31111281045
8Highlanders319166443
9Chicken Inn3011910-142
10Platinum318167-340
11Simba Bhora3191210039
12Hunters3171410-1035
13Kariba3161411-932
14Bulawayo Chiefs3171014-1231
15Agama317717-2128
16Triangle United315917-1724
17TelOne3141017-2322
18Manica Diamonds314918-3021

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is CAPS United win, at 51.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.