National Sports Stadium · Analysis updated 17:43 UTC
CAPS United vs Hunters Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for CAPS United and 0.90 for Hunters, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives CAPS United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
CAPS United win
51.9% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
CAPS United home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hunters away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates CAPS United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 26% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for CAPS United and 0.90 for Hunters, a combined 2.43 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.5%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.8%
Recent form
CAPS United
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Platinum · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Simba Bhora · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MWOS · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamos · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bulawayo Chiefs · 0-0 (D)
Hunters
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Agama · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Manica Diamonds · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ngezi Platinum · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hardrock · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Triangle United · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hardrock | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Scotland Mabvuku | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 61 |
| 3 | Ngezi Platinum | 31 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 55 |
| 4 | Dynamos | 31 | 12 | 15 | 4 | 17 | 51 |
| 5 | CAPS United | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 |
| 6 | Herentals | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 48 |
| 7 | MWOS | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Highlanders | 31 | 9 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Chicken Inn | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Platinum | 31 | 8 | 16 | 7 | -3 | 40 |
| 11 | Simba Bhora | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Hunters | 31 | 7 | 14 | 10 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 | Kariba | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 | Bulawayo Chiefs | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -12 | 31 |
| 15 | Agama | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -21 | 28 |
| 16 | Triangle United | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -17 | 24 |
| 17 | TelOne | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -23 | 22 |
| 18 | Manica Diamonds | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -30 | 21 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is CAPS United win, at 51.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.