· Analysis updated 21:34 UTC
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Babelsberg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 2.75 for Babelsberg U19, a combined total of 4.75. That distribution gives Babelsberg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Babelsberg U19 win
54.1% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 2.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Babelsberg U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Babelsberg U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 28% / 18% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 2.75 for Babelsberg U19, a combined 4.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.5%
- 2–26.5%
- 1–36.0%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–14.8%
Recent form
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Babelsberg U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 3-0 (W)
Babelsberg U19
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 5-3 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Babelsberg U19 win, at 54.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.