· Analysis updated 07:04 UTC
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Chemnitzer FC U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 3.38 for Chemnitzer FC U19, a combined total of 5.13. That distribution gives Chemnitzer FC U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Chemnitzer FC U19 win
68.7% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 3.38
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Chemnitzer FC U19 away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Chemnitzer FC U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 17% / 14% / 69% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 3.38 for Chemnitzer FC U19, a combined 5.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
31%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
83%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–36.7%
- 1–25.9%
- 2–35.8%
- 1–45.6%
- 2–25.2%
Recent form
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Berlin U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Magdeburg U19 · 10-0 (W)
Chemnitzer FC U19
- 2026-10-24T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Babelsberg U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 4-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2024-12-07T12:00:00.000Z · Carl Zeiss Jena U19 0-3 Chemnitzer FC U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2024-09-21T10:00:00.000Z · Carl Zeiss Jena U19 0-0 Chemnitzer FC U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2021-09-18T09:00:00.000Z · Carl Zeiss Jena U19 1-1 Chemnitzer FC U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Chemnitzer FC U19 win, at 68.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.