· Analysis updated 05:11 UTC
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Energie Cottbus U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.75 expected goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 2.58 for Energie Cottbus U19, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives Energie Cottbus U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Energie Cottbus U19 win
76.6% probability
Expected goals
0.75 – 2.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Energie Cottbus U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Energie Cottbus U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 77%, against 9% / 15% / 77% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.75 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 2.58 for Energie Cottbus U19, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
23%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
91%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–211.9%
- 0–310.2%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–37.7%
Recent form
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Babelsberg U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 3-0 (W)
Energie Cottbus U19
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T09:00:00.000Z · A vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Energie Cottbus U19 win, at 76.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.