· Analysis updated 15:17 UTC
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Hertha BSC U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.50 expected goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 2.25 for Hertha BSC U19, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Hertha BSC U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hertha BSC U19 win
77.4% probability
Expected goals
0.50 – 2.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hertha BSC U19 away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hertha BSC U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 77%, against 7% / 16% / 77% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.50 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 2.25 for Hertha BSC U19, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
23%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
93%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–216.2%
- 0–114.4%
- 0–312.1%
- 1–28.1%
- 1–17.2%
Recent form
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Berlin U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Magdeburg U19 · 10-0 (W)
Hertha BSC U19
- 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SG Unterrath U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hertha BSC U19 win, at 77.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.