Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Matchweek 912:00

6 – 1

Saturday, 18 April 2026

· Analysis updated 09:10 UTC

Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Kickers Offenbach U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.70 expected goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 1.75 for Kickers Offenbach U19, a combined total of 4.45. That distribution gives Carl Zeiss Jena U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Carl Zeiss Jena U19 win

58.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.70 – 1.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Carl Zeiss Jena U19 home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Carl Zeiss Jena U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 18% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.70 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 1.75 for Kickers Offenbach U19, a combined 4.45 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 82% and both teams to score at 77%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Match result (1X2)

Carl Zeiss Jena U19 win58%
Draw18%
Kickers Offenbach U19 win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams to score77%

Correct score

  • 2–17.4%
  • 3–16.7%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 3–25.9%
  • 1–15.5%

Recent form

Carl Zeiss Jena U19

  • 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Babelsberg U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 3-0 (W)

Kickers Offenbach U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Carl Zeiss Jena U19 win, at 58.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

    A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.