· Analysis updated 11:02 UTC
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Unterhaching U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.78 expected goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 1.50 for Unterhaching U19, a combined total of 4.28. That distribution gives Carl Zeiss Jena U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 win
64.2% probability
Expected goals
2.78 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Unterhaching U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Carl Zeiss Jena U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 17% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.78 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 1.50 for Unterhaching U19, a combined 4.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.0%
- 3–17.4%
- 2–26.0%
- 1–15.8%
- 3–25.6%
Recent form
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Berlin U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Magdeburg U19 · 10-0 (W)
Unterhaching U19
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs 1860 München U19 · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayern München U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ingolstadt U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Carl Zeiss Jena U19 win, at 64.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.