· Analysis updated 14:16 UTC
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Wacker Burghausen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 1.49 for Wacker Burghausen U19, a combined total of 3.39. That distribution gives Carl Zeiss Jena U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 win
47.5% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wacker Burghausen U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Carl Zeiss Jena U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 22% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and 1.49 for Wacker Burghausen U19, a combined 3.39 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.4%
Recent form
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Babelsberg U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 3-0 (W)
Wacker Burghausen U19
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-05-14T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unterhaching U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-04-26T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Kickers Offenbach U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Carl Zeiss Jena U19 win, at 47.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.