· Analysis updated 00:40 UTC
Carl Zeiss Jena W vs FC Koln II W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.14 expected goals for Carl Zeiss Jena W and 0.77 for FC Koln II W, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Carl Zeiss Jena W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Carl Zeiss Jena W win
68.9% probability
Expected goals
2.14 – 0.77
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Carl Zeiss Jena W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Carl Zeiss Jena W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 19% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.14 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena W and 0.77 for FC Koln II W, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 47%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
31%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–012.5%
- 1–011.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–08.9%
Recent form
Carl Zeiss Jena W
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Sand W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Eutingen W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim II W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W · 0-1 (L)
FC Koln II W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Ingolstadt W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | SC Sand W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Carl Zeiss Jena W win, at 68.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.