Stadion Pod Hradkem · Analysis updated 08:11 UTC
Čáslav vs Benátky nad Jizerou Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for Čáslav and 1.84 for Benátky nad Jizerou, a combined total of 2.87. That distribution gives Benátky nad Jizerou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Benátky nad Jizerou win
56.4% probability
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.84
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Čáslav home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Benátky nad Jizerou away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Benátky nad Jizerou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 21% / 23% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.03 goals for Čáslav and 1.84 for Benátky nad Jizerou, a combined 2.87 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.6%
- 1–36.1%
Recent form
Čáslav
- 2026-08-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Brozany · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vykan · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Chrudim II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-06T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Přepeře · 1-4 (L)
Benátky nad Jizerou
- 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Čáslav · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Brozany · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mladá Boleslav II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | Jablonec II | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 24 |
| 3 | Sokol Zápy | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Benátky nad Jizerou | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Pardubice II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Baník Souš | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Neratovice-Byškovice | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Varnsdorf | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Čáslav | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 10 | Teplice II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Chrudim | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | Slovan Liberec II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | Hradec Králové II | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Horní Ředice | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Sokol Brozany | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Velké Hamry | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -20 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Benátky nad Jizerou win, at 56.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.