Stadium East · Referee M. Gaymes · Analysis updated 18:21 UTC
Cavalier vs Salcedo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.55 expected goals for Cavalier and 0.81 for Salcedo, a combined total of 1.36. That distribution gives Salcedo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 38%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 16% for over 2.5 goals and 23% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 26%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
77.3% probability
Expected goals
0.55 – 0.81
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Cavalier home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Salcedo away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Salcedo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 23% / 38% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.55 goals for Cavalier and 0.81 for Salcedo, a combined 1.36 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
62%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–025.7%
- 0–120.9%
- 1–014.0%
- 1–111.4%
- 0–28.5%
Recent form
Cavalier
- 2026-08-21T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Salcedo · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Cibao · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-25T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Portmore United · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-21T02:00:00.000Z · A vs Montego Bay United · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-17T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Montego Bay United · 0-1 (L)
Salcedo
- 2026-08-26T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Moca · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-23T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Universidad O&M · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Cavalier · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-04T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Portmore United · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-24T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Cibao · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Violette AC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Portmore United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Club Sando | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Mount Pleasant Academy | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Salcedo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Delfines Del Este | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Cibao | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Defence Force | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 9 | Cavalier | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 10 | Broki | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 77.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 23% and over 2.5 goals at 16%.
A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.