CD Lunda-Sul vs Bravos do Maquis FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.78 expected goals for CD Lunda-Sul and 0.91 for Bravos do Maquis FC, a combined total of 1.68. That distribution gives Bravos do Maquis FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 34%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 24% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

70.8% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.78 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

CD Lunda-Sul home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bravos do Maquis FC away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bravos do Maquis FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 29% / 34% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.78 goals for CD Lunda-Sul and 0.91 for Bravos do Maquis FC, a combined 1.68 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

CD Lunda-Sul win29%

Draw34%

Bravos do Maquis FC win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

66%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals50%

Over 2.5 goals24%

Over 3.5 goals9%

Both teams to score32%

Correct score

0–018.6%
0–116.9%
1–014.4%
1–113.1%
0–27.6%

Recent form

CD Lunda-Sul

2026-09-21T14:30:00.000Z · A vs 1º de Maio · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sagrada Esperança · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Recreativo da Caála · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Kabuscorp · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Petro de Luanda · 0-0 (D)

Bravos do Maquis FC

2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs CD Lunda-Sul · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-11T14:30:00.000Z · A vs 1º de Maio · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Recreativo da Caála · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kabuscorp · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs São Salvador · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Girabola table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wiliete	6	5	1	0	11	16
2	Desportivo Huíla	8	5	1	2	4	16
3	Petro de Luanda	6	4	2	0	7	14
4	Bravos do Maquis FC	7	4	2	1	5	14
5	1º de Agosto	6	4	2	0	4	14
6	Interclube	8	4	1	3	1	13
7	Sagrada Esperança	7	3	2	2	2	11
8	CD Lunda-Sul	8	2	4	2	1	10
9	Recreativo do Libolo	8	3	0	5	-6	9
10	São Salvador	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	1º de Maio	8	2	2	4	-3	8
12	Recreativo da Caála	7	1	3	3	-2	6
13	Kabuscorp	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	FC Luanda	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Sporting de Cabinda	7	0	4	3	-5	4
16	Académica do Lobito	8	0	3	5	-9	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 70.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 32% and over 2.5 goals at 24%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.