· Analysis updated 05:00 UTC
Celaya 2 vs Huracanes Izcalli Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Celaya 2 and 0.93 for Huracanes Izcalli, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Celaya 2 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Celaya 2 win
52.6% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Huracanes Izcalli away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Celaya 2 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 25% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Celaya 2 and 0.93 for Huracanes Izcalli, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% and both teams to score at 48%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.9%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–08.2%
Recent form
Celaya 2
- 2026-09-18T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Irapuato II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Cruz Azul Lagunas · 1-1 (D)
Huracanes Izcalli
- 2026-08-30T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Ayense · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-03-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Poza Rica · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-03-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Acambaro · 3-8 (L)
- 2026-02-22T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Ayense · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-02-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Artesanos Metepec · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
Liga Premier Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Irapuato II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Celaya 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 |
| 5 | Huracanes Izcalli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul Lagunas | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Internacional Laguna | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Deportivo Ayense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | Atletico Hidalgo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Celaya 2 win, at 52.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.