Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades · Referee A. Gariano · Analysis updated 15:21 UTC
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.60 expected goals for Central Cordoba de Santiago and 0.45 for Deportivo Riestra, a combined total of 1.05. That distribution gives Central Cordoba de Santiago the largest share of the 1X2 market at 32%, with the draw at 45%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 9% for over 2.5 goals and 16% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 35%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 32% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw
45.1% probability
Expected goals
0.60 – 0.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Central Cordoba de Santiago home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Deportivo Riestra away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 32% / 45% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.60 goals for Central Cordoba de Santiago and 0.45 for Deportivo Riestra, a combined 1.05 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
55%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–035.0%
- 1–021.0%
- 0–115.7%
- 1–19.4%
- 2–06.3%
Recent form
Central Cordoba de Santiago
- 2026-10-10T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Estudiantes L.P. · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-05T19:45:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Riestra · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Defensa Y Justicia · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Boca Juniors · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Independiente · 0-1 (L)
Deportivo Riestra
- 2026-10-11T17:45:00.000Z · A vs San Lorenzo · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-05T19:45:00.000Z · H vs Central Cordoba de Santiago · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gimnasia M. · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-14T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Lanus · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-09T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Banfield · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw, at 45.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 16% and over 2.5 goals at 9%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.