· Analysis updated 08:49 UTC
Central SC U20 vs Ibis Sport Club U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.52 expected goals for Central SC U20 and 1.04 for Ibis Sport Club U20, a combined total of 3.56. That distribution gives Central SC U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Central SC U20 win
69.5% probability
Expected goals
2.52 – 1.04
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ibis Sport Club U20 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Central SC U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 17% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.52 goals for Central SC U20 and 1.04 for Ibis Sport Club U20, a combined 3.56 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 59%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
31%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.4%
- 2–09.0%
- 3–17.9%
- 3–07.6%
- 1–17.4%
Recent form
Central SC U20
Ibis Sport Club U20
- 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Torres U20 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Central SC U20 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Retrô U20 · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-10-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Guarany U20 · 3-0 (W)
- 2025-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Retrô U20 · 0-9 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Pernambucano - U20 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Cruz U20 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 20 |
| 1 | Sport Recife U20 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 |
| 2 | Retrô U20 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 |
| 2 | Nautico U20 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Ipojuca U20 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Academica Vitoria U20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | CA Porto U20 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 |
| 4 | America PE U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 | Central SC U20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Petrolina U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 6 | 1º de Maio U20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 6 | Serrano PE U20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Ibis Sport Club U20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 7 | Jaguar U20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 8 | Atletico PE U20 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -24 | 3 |
| 8 | Guarany U20 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -33 | 0 |
| 9 | Atletico Torres U20 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -22 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Central SC U20 win, at 69.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.