· Analysis updated 08:44 UTC
Centre Chiefs vs Township Rollers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.56 expected goals for Centre Chiefs and 1.18 for Township Rollers, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Centre Chiefs the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Centre Chiefs win
46.2% probability
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Centre Chiefs home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Township Rollers away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–17.6%
Recent form
Centre Chiefs
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Extension Gunners · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Extension Gunners · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Gaborone United · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs BDF XI · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-04-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Orapa United · 0-1 (L)
Township Rollers
- 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Matebele · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Orapa United · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Centre Chiefs · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Extension Gunners · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Morupule Wanderers · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-14T17:00:00.000Z · Centre Chiefs 2-0 Township Rollers (Premier League)
- 2025-10-25T18:00:00.000Z · Centre Chiefs 2-1 Township Rollers (Premier League)
- 2025-04-13T16:00:00.000Z · Centre Chiefs 2-0 Township Rollers (Premier League)
- 2025-01-04T14:00:00.000Z · Centre Chiefs 0-0 Township Rollers (Premier League)
- 2019-05-01T13:45:00.000Z · Centre Chiefs 0-4 Township Rollers (Premier League)
- 2018-10-20T18:00:00.000Z · Centre Chiefs 1-1 Township Rollers (Premier League)
- 2018-03-28T17:30:00.000Z · Centre Chiefs 0-2 Township Rollers (Premier League)
- 2017-10-28T13:30:00.000Z · Centre Chiefs 0-2 Township Rollers (Premier League)
- 2017-04-15T18:00:00.000Z · Centre Chiefs 1-2 Township Rollers (Premier League)
- 2016-11-26T14:15:00.000Z · Centre Chiefs 3-2 Township Rollers (Premier League)
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaborone United | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Tonota | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Sua Flamingoes | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Centre Chiefs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Orapa United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Extension Gunners | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | TAFIC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Police XI | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Galaxy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Nico United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Township Rollers | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Enesia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Matebele | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | BDF XI | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Prisons XI | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Morupule Wanderers | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Centre Chiefs win, at 46.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.