Arab Contractors Stadium · Analysis updated 07:55 UTC
Ceramica Cleopatra vs AL Masry Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.02 expected goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 1.11 for AL Masry, a combined total of 2.13. That distribution gives AL Masry the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.2% probability
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.11
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ceramica Cleopatra home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
AL Masry away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates AL Masry to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 33% / 30% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.02 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 1.11 for AL Masry, a combined 2.13 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.4%
- 0–113.2%
- 1–012.1%
- 0–011.8%
- 1–27.5%
Recent form
Ceramica Cleopatra
- 2026-10-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AL Masry · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs National Bank of Egypt · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Smouha SC · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Future FC · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Ittihad · 3-1 (W)
AL Masry
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Ittihad · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrojet · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Pyramids FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-27T17:00:00.000Z · A vs El Mokawloon · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Smouha SC · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
League Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Masr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | El Mokawloon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Future FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Pyramids FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | AL Masry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Abu Qair Semad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Olympic El Qanah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | El Gouna FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | National Bank of Egypt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Zamalek SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Asyut Petrol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.