· Analysis updated 15:51 UTC
Cercle Brugge II vs Houtvenne Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Cercle Brugge II and 1.91 for Houtvenne, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives Houtvenne the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.8% probability
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Cercle Brugge II home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Houtvenne away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Houtvenne to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 35% / 22% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Cercle Brugge II and 1.91 for Houtvenne, a combined 3.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.7%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.3%
Recent form
Cercle Brugge II
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Heist · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tienen · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Dessel Sport · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Knokke · 2-1 (W)
Houtvenne
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Hoogstraten · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Mandel United · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokeren-Temse · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zelzate · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Dessel Sport · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
First Amateur Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meux | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | RWDM | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Rochefort | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Tubize | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Standard Liège II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Olympic Charleroi | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Charleroi II | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Onhaye | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 11 | Habay-la-Neuve | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Flénu | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.