Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.65 for Antwerp, a combined total of 3.07. That distribution gives Antwerp the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Cercle Brugge home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Antwerp away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Cercle Brugge win33%

Draw24%

Antwerp win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score61%

Correct score

1–110.9%
1–29.0%
2–17.7%
0–17.6%
1–06.6%

Recent form

Cercle Brugge

2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Hasselt · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Anderlecht · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-19T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Charleroi · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-12T18:45:00.000Z · A vs OH Leuven · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-06T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Gent · 0-3 (L)

Antwerp

2026-10-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs KVC Westerlo · 1-5 (L)
2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Union St. Gilloise · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge KV · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-05T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Standard Liege · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Truiden · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-01-31T15:00:00.000Z · Cercle Brugge 0-4 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2025-10-04T18:45:00.000Z · Cercle Brugge 1-1 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2025-03-01T15:00:00.000Z · Cercle Brugge 0-0 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2024-10-06T14:00:00.000Z · Cercle Brugge 0-3 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2024-05-12T16:30:00.000Z · Cercle Brugge 2-1 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2024-04-21T11:30:00.000Z · Cercle Brugge 0-1 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2023-12-09T15:00:00.000Z · Cercle Brugge 1-3 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2023-07-30T11:30:00.000Z · Cercle Brugge 0-1 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2023-04-09T14:00:00.000Z · Cercle Brugge 1-2 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)
2022-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · Cercle Brugge 0-2 Antwerp (Jupiler Pro League)

Jupiler Pro League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	11	22
2	Club Brugge KV	8	7	0	1	15	21
3	Charleroi	9	7	0	2	6	21
4	Union St. Gilloise	8	6	2	0	18	20
5	Anderlecht	8	5	1	2	3	16
6	KVC Westerlo	9	4	2	3	3	14
7	Genk	8	3	3	2	4	12
8	Lommel United	9	3	3	3	0	12
9	Standard Liege	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Zulte Waregem	9	3	2	4	-2	11
11	Antwerp	9	3	1	5	-5	10
12	SK Beveren	9	3	1	5	-6	10
13	St. Truiden	8	2	2	4	-1	8
14	RAAL La Louvière	9	2	1	6	-7	7
15	KV Mechelen	8	1	3	4	-8	6
16	OH Leuven	9	1	3	5	-8	6
17	Kortrijk	8	1	0	7	-16	3
18	Cercle Brugge	8	0	3	5	-7	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.